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To reverse a years of compromising total element productivity, regional labour market policy is shifting from easy task creation to managing active labor force shifts. Governments and employers are scaling short, modular training programs and micro-credentials in data analytics and digital operations to equip employees for emerging roles. Workplace-based knowing and apprenticeship-style pathways are becoming more typical as firms incorporate AI tools into everyday workflows.
With oil rates forecasted to typical $55-60 per barrel in 2026, local federal governments are magnifying their concentrate on expenditure discipline and private capital mobilisation. Financial policy is rotating toward the monetisation of state-owned properties in logistics, utilities, and desalination to reroute funds toward higher-impact investments. While borrowing by means of sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is expected to increase to fund tactical deficits, the focus stays on enhancing non-oil earnings frameworks.
PwC Middle East economic policy and technique partner Jing Teow said: "Having already mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC governments are now concentrated on delivery. In 2026, the concern is strengthening financial durability through more secure trade and financial investment relationships, reliable AI deployment, managed labor force shifts and disciplined financial policy in a more challenging and fragmented international environment.".

Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf region's economic growth in 2026, supported by strong private-sector performance, resistant domestic demand and renewed financial investment momentum, according to the current ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is anticipated to outshine most worldwide regions peers next year, with local GDP projection to grow by 4.4%. Across the GCC, non-energy activity is projected to broaden by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, enhancing credit conditions and rising financial investment in technology and AI-related infrastructure.
Although oil revenues will be under pressure in the very first half of 2026, production is expected to increase once again in the second half of 2026, supporting the region's medium-term outlook, it stated. Saudi Arabia will stay a significant factor to GCC momentum, with GDP forecast to grow 4.3% in 2026.

Development will be supported by industrial growth and policy reforms, including reduced foreign ownership guidelines that intend to stimulate more investment. The financial deficit is projected to broaden to 5.6% of GDP next year amid softer oil costs, while the current five-year rent freeze in Riyadh intends to relieve inflationary pressures, though it may constrain future real estate supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is likewise positioned for another strong year of efficiency, with GDP projection to rise 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to broaden. Tourist, trade and monetary services stay key growth drivers, supported by population growth and sustained domestic demand. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the first half of 2025, reflecting broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is anticipated to get again in the second half of 2026, complementing ongoing investment in infrastructure, technology and worldwide trade partnerships. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, said: "This quarter's outlook strengthens how far the GCC has actually can be found in building varied, resilient and internationally competitive economies.
Scott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Consultant, and Chief Financial Expert and Handling Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, said: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are getting in 2026 with strong foundations. Saudi non-oil activity is acquiring rate, supported by robust demand and rising financial investment, even as financial pressures increase.""The UAE continues to take advantage of strong domestic basics, a sharp uplift in government spending and sustained diversity efforts.
Connecting Strategy and Business Performance in the Middle EastWhat distinguishes 2026 from preceding years is not just the acceleration of technological change, though that velocity is real, but rather an essential shift in how enterprises develop of their GCCs' purpose. The is expected to grow to 4 hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, but this development masks a more profound transformation.
Rather, they ask whether these centers drive development, own profit-and-loss responsibility, and add to competitive distinction. In 2026, the most successful GCCs will act like internal startups, nimble, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply lined up with worldwide business results. This shift from execution to ownership represents possibly the single most considerable strategic recalibration in the GCC model's evolution.
Today, we're convening more than 3000 meetings in between financiers and 119 Gulf-listed business with a combined value of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're bringing together financiers, companies, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is altering in the region, and what follows, including the expansion and ongoing development of the Gulf's capital markets, and the region's growing role in international networks of capital and trade.
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